SUSA shows Daniels’ lead growing
(H/T to Hoosier Political Report)
New poll numbers from Survey USA (8/16/08-8/18/08, likely voters, MOE 3.9%):
Daniels / Skillman (R) 52
Long Thompson / Oxley (D) 38
Horning / Kelly (L)3
Stried / O’Brien (I)3
Undecided4
Unfortunately, Daniels has increased 2 points, and JLT has declined by 7 since the last SUSA poll 8 weeks ago.
Looking at the crosstabs, the JLT campaign has a lot of work to do. She’s currently trailing among women, and in every age group.
Where’s she’s leading:
- Northern Indiana
- Voters who rank healthcare as the top issue
- African-American Hoosiers
Unfortunately, that’s about it. Currently 23% of Democrats are supporting Mitch Daniels – that number needs to come down. JLT has a lot of work to do among women voters, young voters, and especially pro-choice voters.
But there’s hope:
- Daniels has the support of less than half of likely voters who list the economy as the top issue. And that’s a large chunk of voters – 45%.
- Daniels support seems to be less solid.
So it comes back to what I’ve said before: hit Daniels on the economy, and hammer home the disconnect between Mitch’s 2004 promises and rosy language with the current reality. Something like this would be a good start.
